Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.001443 0.001537 0.001634 0.001741 0.001856 0.001978 0.002114
2024-10-13 0.001316 0.001445 0.001582 0.001741 0.001918 0.002112 0.002340
2024-10-20 0.001199 0.001348 0.001511 0.001705 0.001929 0.002181 0.002487
2024-10-27 0.001124 0.001289 0.001475 0.001700 0.001967 0.002276 0.002663
2024-11-03 0.001033 0.001204 0.001400 0.001643 0.001938 0.002286 0.002733
2024-11-10 0.000993 0.001175 0.001388 0.001658 0.001991 0.002395 0.002925
2024-11-17 0.000943 0.001131 0.001355 0.001642 0.002005 0.002452 0.003052
2024-11-24 0.000914 0.001110 0.001347 0.001657 0.002055 0.002556 0.003241
2024-12-01 0.000868 0.001065 0.001307 0.001628 0.002047 0.002582 0.003329
2024-12-08 0.000832 0.001032 0.001279 0.001613 0.002054 0.002628 0.003444
2024-12-15 0.000800 0.001002 0.001256 0.001601 0.002065 0.002678 0.003563
2024-12-22 0.000777 0.000983 0.001243 0.001603 0.002093 0.002750 0.003716
2024-12-29 0.000745 0.000952 0.001218 0.001590 0.002106 0.002808 0.003862
2025-01-05 0.000720 0.000930 0.001203 0.001590 0.002136 0.002891 0.004047
2025-01-12 0.000685 0.000893 0.001166 0.001559 0.002119 0.002907 0.004134
2025-01-19 0.000663 0.000872 0.001150 0.001554 0.002139 0.002977 0.004304
2025-01-26 0.000625 0.000829 0.001102 0.001503 0.002090 0.002942 0.004311
2025-02-02 0.000612 0.000819 0.001099 0.001516 0.002135 0.003048 0.004542
2025-02-09 0.000591 0.000797 0.001078 0.001502 0.002139 0.003091 0.004675
2025-02-16 0.000580 0.000788 0.001077 0.001515 0.002184 0.003198 0.004917
2025-02-23 0.000558 0.000763 0.001049 0.001489 0.002167 0.003208 0.004999
2025-03-02 0.000540 0.000744 0.001031 0.001476 0.002169 0.003248 0.005131
2025-03-09 0.000524 0.000727 0.001015 0.001465 0.002175 0.003293 0.005275